Tropical Weather Discussion

000
AXNT20 KNHC 220823
TWDAT 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Wed Apr 22 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 
0820 UTC.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 09N14W and continues 
southwestward to 01N30W. The ITCZ extends from 01N30W to 00N50W. 
Scattered moderate and isolated strong convection is noted south 
of 06N and east of 30W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

The pressure gradient between high pressure centered over the SE 
United States, and a surface trough south of Cuba is supporting 
fresh to strong winds, and seas of 6-10 ft, over the SE Gulf. 
Moderate to fresh winds, and seas of 5-7 ft are found over the 
remainder of the Gulf waters. 

For the forecast, moderate to fresh winds and rough seas will 
gradually diminish today in the SE Gulf. High pressure will build 
across the Gulf, with a relatively weak pressure gradient across 
the area. This will result in gentle to moderate SE winds basin- 
wide by tonight, then prevailing through late week. 

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

A weak pressure gradient prevails across the Caribbean basin.
Moderate to locally fresh winds are found S of Cuba and just off
the coast of Colombia. Elsewhere, gentle to moderate winds are
noted. Seas are mainly in the 3-4 ft range, reaching 5 ft off the
coast of Colombia. 

For the forecast, weak Atlantic high pressure will continue N of the
basin and support a weaker than usual pressure gradient over the
Caribbean basin into the weekend. Fresh NE winds are expected
through tonight across the Windward Passage and south of Cuba as 
a late-season cold front moves across Cuba, then dissipates along 
the N coast of Hispaniola Wed night into Thu. Tranquil marine 
conditions are expected across the entire basin Fri through the 
weekend. 

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A cold front extends from near 31N57W to eastern Cuba. Fresh to
strong winds prevail across much of the waters west of the front,
except for gentle to moderate winds N of 28N and W of 65W. The
front has ushered in a set of northerly swell, with seas in the
8-10 ft range west of the front, except for 4-6 ft seas in the
area of gentle to moderate winds. High pressure dominates the
remainder of the discussion waters, anchored by a 1020 mb high
centered near 30N42W. There is a weak pressure gradient over these
waters, with mainly light to gentle winds. One exception is due
south of the high center, where the pressure gradient is slightly
tighter between the high and lower pressure in the vicinity of the
ITCZ, supporting moderate winds. Seas are in the 6-8 ft range N of
23N and E of 40W, and 4-6 ft elsewhere.  

For the forecast west of 55W, fresh to strong N to NE winds and 
rough seas will follow the front as it moves eastward through 
tonight. Conditions will gradually improve late this week as the 
front weakens and eventually stalls Fri over the SE waters. High 
pressure will settle in between northeast Florida and Bermuda for 
the end of the week, bringing tranquil conditions to area waters 
through the weekend. 

$$
AL