Tropical Weather Discussion

000
AXPZ20 KNHC 010820
TWDEP 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1005 UTC Sun Mar 1 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0700 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

A surface trough is analyzed from 04S86W to 05S96W. The ITCZ is 
south of the Equator and runs from 05S96W to beyond 05S120W. No 
significant convection is associated with these features.

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

A ridge continues to dominate the offshore forecast waters of 
Baja California supporting mainly gentle NW winds with moderate 
seas. Winds are mainly light elsewhere, except in the Gulf of
Tehuantepec where fresh to locally strong gap winds are 
ongoing. Seas are 5 to 7 ft in the Gulf of Tehuantepec. 
Elsewhere across the Mexican offshore waters seas are 3 to 5 ft, 
with seas of 1 to 3 in the Gulf of California.

For the forecast, high pressure will build toward the area from
the NW early this week, causing winds to increase offshore Baja
California. Locally strong NW winds are possible Mon and Mon
night N of Cabo San Lazaro. High pressure over NE Mexico will
lead to gap winds in the Gulf of Tehuantepec through the week,
that will pulse to strong each night. Looking ahead, a stronger 
high pressure will impact the waters N of Punta Eugenia by the 
middle of next week bringing fresh to strong NW winds and 
building seas.

....OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, 
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...

Fresh NE winds are blowing across the Papagayo region with seas 
of 4 to 6 ft. Moderate gap winds are ongoing in the Gulf of 
Panama. Elsewhere, winds mainly light with slight to moderate 
seas prevail.

For the forecast, pulsing fresh to strong winds are expected in 
the Papagayo area through through the week as high pressure 
strengthens N of region. Winds will increase to 30 kt tonight 
into Mon with seas building to 8 to 9 ft downwind of the Papagayo
region to near 90W. At the same time, fresh to locally strong N
gap winds and moderate seas are forecast to pulse in the Gulf of
Panama and just S of the Azuero Peninsula. 

...REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

High pressure centered NW of the waters is leading to moderate or
weaker winds and moderate seas for most of the waters, as ridging
dominates. On the southern periphery of the ridge, from 10N to
20N, W of 130W, moderate to fresh NE to E trades and seas of up
to 7 ft are present. 

For the forecast, high pressure will build SE into the region
early this weekend, causing northeast to east winds to gradually
increase through much of the basin. A stronger high pressure 
will bring increasing winds and building seas by the middle of 
next week, with some rough seas and locally strong winds possible
starting Wed N of 15N. 

$$
Konarik